Singapore Reports Another Record Jump In Infections As Cuomo Warns “This Is A Profound Moment In History”: Live Updates
Summary:
- German biotech company begins clinical trials for vaccine
- Oxford U. begins human testing for vaccine
- FT says UK coronavirus deaths 2x+ official number
- Trump: “Our Country is starting to OPEN FOR BUSINESS”
- Chinese scientist finds deadly new coronavirus mutations
- Cali officials reveal first US coronavirus death occurred weeks earlier than realized
- Dominic Raab says at least 69 health-care workers have died in the UK
- South Korea unveils ‘New Deal’-style stimulus
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Update (1130ET): One day after Singapore extended its lockdown until the end of June amid a stunning resurgence in coronavirus infections involving the city’s migrant workers, the city-state has reported another record jump in new cases.
Meanwhile, during Wednesday’s press conference, NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo warned “what we do today, we will see the results in 3, or 4, or 5 days”, since most of the worst viral cases tend to manifest within 10 or 11 days, tops, though some cases have taken far longer.
Holding a briefing with updates on #Coronavirus. Watch Live: https://t.co/pWIbMR0Jmk
— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo) April 22, 2020
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Update (0810ET): President Trump is starting the day by once again encouraging the ‘reopen now’ protesters and courting even more responsibility for the eventual outcome of the reopening – something that we’ve repeatedly argued is a boneheaded political strategy.
States are safely coming back. Our Country is starting to OPEN FOR BUSINESS again. Special care is, and always will be, given to our beloved seniors (except me!). Their lives will be better than ever…WE LOVE YOU ALL!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 22, 2020
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I will be signing my Executive Order prohibiting immigration into our Country today. In the meantime, even without this order, our Southern Border, aided substantially by the 170 miles of new Border Wall & 27,000 Mexican soldiers, is very tight – including for human trafficking!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 22, 2020
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The president also affirmed plans to sign his executive order prohibiting immigration into the US for 60 days.
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Now that the Senate has passed the $484 billion relief bill to top off the ‘Paycheck Protection Program’ (which hasn’t been able to make any new loans in five days), Washington reporters claim that the House should follow that up with a vote on Thursday, before hopefully sending it to the president’s desk.
Last night, we reported on a new study out of China authored by the same scientist who first proposed Beijing’s lockdown plan that highlighted some troubling new discoveries that might complicate the quest for a vaccine. The researchers isolated and analyzed new mutant strains of the virus that appeared to be much more ‘aggressive’ (i.e. likely deadlier) than earlier strains. Furthermore, these deadlier strains were not only found to carry higher viral loads – making them much more infectious – but they were also found to have genetic similarities to strains isolated in New York and Europe, potentially explaining the strikingly high mortality rates.
During the early days of the US response, Dr. Fauci and others insisted that there was “no evidence” of any significant mutations in the virus that might impede research into a possible vaccine. While that might have been true given the evidence at the time, clearly, it no longer is.
Whether this leads to a revision in vaccine timeline targets remains to be seen, but we would be surprised to see any such information released through official channels.
Curiously, the only vaccine-related news we’re seeing on Wednesday are reports about two companies, one German, one British, that have just received a ‘green light’ to move on to the next phase of vaccine-related study.
German biotech company BioNTech will become the first European company to proceed to clinical trials of a potential COVID-19 vaccine after receiving regulatory approval to accelerate the firm’s testing. Presumably, the firm’s experimental vaccine has already shown some success in preliminary human studies – typically a prerequisite before moving on to clinical trials. The German Federal Institute for Vaccines was responsible for issuing the approval.
The Times of London reported last night that the first British human trials of a coronavirus vaccine will start on Wednesday as Britain ‘throws everything it has’ at developing a vaccine, according to Health Secretary Matt Hancock. Scientists in Oxford are expected to begin to test the safety of their experimental vaccine. Hancock also announcing another £20 million in funding to speed the quasi-public project through larger-scale human trials over the summer, as well as £22.5 million for a parallel vaccine project at Imperial College London.
For anybody hoping that these early-stage triumphs might herald an even earlier time-frame for a vaccine, try not to get too excited: Remember the words of Sir Patrick Vallance, the UK’s chief scientific adviser, who once warned that every vaccine is a “long shot”.
However, the biggest bombshell to drop overnight was probably a statement from health authorities in California that the first coronavirus deaths in the US likely occurred weeks earlier than initially thought. Officials told the local press that forensic scientists in Santa Clara had discovered two autopsies on people who had died undiagnosed at home on Feb. 6 and Feb. 17 that showed signs of COVID-19.
A third death on March 6 was also found to be caused by COVID-19. The first virus-related death in the US was reported in California on Feb. 26.
“These three people died at home at a time when testing was very limited and only possible to get via the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,” the forensics department said. Tests at that time were only available to people who returned from high-risk areas, or those who went to a doctor with serious and obvious coronavirus symptoms. Notably, a recent study in Santa Clara County also found that the viral penetration in the area was “50-80x higher” than official statistics suggested.
As India begins the process of reopening its economy, a new issue is arising: Indian doctors and nurses report that they have been subjected to horrifying treatment at the hands of their fellow townspeople and community members, as family members of dead patients have, in some cases, attacked doctors for failing to save their family member. The situation has gotten so bad that a funeral procession for a doctor who died fighting the virus was attacked by an angry mob, forcing the doctor’s family and colleagues to flee. A colleague returned later to dig a grave for his friend.
To try and stop doctors from simply walking off the job as India’s rate of confirmed infections climbs above 20k and the bodies continue to pile up, the Indian government has, at the behest of the Indian Medical Association, issued an emergency order making violence against health-care professionals a serious crime. Doctors around the country have said they will observe a “Black Day” on Friday, with any opting to wear black armbands to identify themselves as health-care workers.
Spain announced a slight relaxation of its five-week lockdown earlier this week when the government caved to popular demands that children under the age of 14 be allowed to leave their homes unaccompanied by an adult.
And now, as Spain’s rate of deaths ticks higher, PM Pedro Sanchez is pushing ahead with his plan to extend the lockdown until May 9, asking his country’s parliament to approve the extension, which he first announced days ago. Sanchez said that the lifting of the quarantine order must be “slow and gradual” to save lives.
“The general requirement to stay at home will not be lifted until we are prepared,” he said, although he added that in future the conditions of the lockdown “will not be the same as up to now,” with shifts in the rules in the second half of May.
Finally, an FT analysis of data released by the ONS has determined that the actual death toll from COVID-19 across the UK might be as high as 41k, more than double the roughly 17.5k ‘official’ death toll according to the Department of Health and Social Care. Here’s more on that from FT reporter Chris Giles.
NEW: The excess UK deaths linked to coronavirus are likely to be around
41,000
as of yesterday, not the 17,337 of the hospital deaths announcements
Here is the explanation for that estimate, which I will update daily
1/
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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The article explaining the calculations is here
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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The methods are simple and involve no forecasting of how the Covid-19 pandemic will progress.
It is just an updating model – taking the best data from @ONS, the best concept (all cause mortality), and removing the delays in producing that data in a conservative way
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— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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The methods are simple and involve no forecasting of how the Covid-19 pandemic will progress.
It is just an updating model – taking the best data from @ONS, the best concept (all cause mortality), and removing the delays in producing that data in a conservative way
3/
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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It is easily checked and every week, when the ONS data is published, will be a test to see whether it is on track or not.
So far, it has proved remarkably accurate and we haven’t published until now so we could check it was not giving a false steer
4/
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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We know that linked to Coronavirus there have been many excess deaths since mid-March – In England and Wales, there have been 15,161 cumulatively in the ONS data already published.
Excess deaths is death registrations compared with the recent five year average.
5/
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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The England and Wales chart, compared with the previous 50 years shows this is not a normal seasonal flu
Carl Henegan, professor of evidence based medicine at Oxford university, says: “I don’t think we’ve ever seen such a sharp upturn in deaths at that rate” pic.twitter.com/Wg18u9Oxcy
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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But the excess deaths are just as pronounced in Scotland – figures from the National Records of Scotland pic.twitter.com/uTEhPR6FeR
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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And for Northern Ireland pic.twitter.com/pb4wQebNxP
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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But these data come with big delays. In England & Wales, the data published on April 21, refers to death registrations in the week ending April 10 and there is an average delay between death and registration of 4 days.
So it relates to deaths in week to 6 April
— Chris Giles (@ChrisGiles_) April 22, 2020
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Following the report’s release, UK Foreign Minister Dominic Raab announced that the death toll of UK health care workers has climbed to 69, significantly higher than the previous number.
And in South Korea, while the world waits to learn more about what’s going on with KJU, South Korean President Moon Jae-in unveiled a $32.4 billion relief package for hard-hit businesses, while pushing for a New Deal-style program that would put out-of-work South Koreans to work building new national projects.
Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/22/2020 – 11:48
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