An eruption of coups and terrorism in Africa may ensue if the conflict in Ukraine does not end soon, Rome says
If the military conflict in Ukraine does not come to an end soon, the resulting famine could trigger political instability in Africa, Italian Foreign Minister Luigi di Maio warned during a press conference on Saturday. He also suggested “the proliferation of terrorist organizations and coups d’etat” were on the horizon.
“The World War for Bread is already underway and we must stop it,” he said.
Di Maio urged Putin to “come to the table” and reach a peace agreement as soon as possible, including a specific agreement on wheat.
“We must not forget that there are 30 million tons of grain blocked in Ukrainian ports by Russian warships. What we are doing is working to ensure that Russia unblocks the export of grain in Ukrainian ports, because at this moment we risk new wars breaking out in Africa.”
Italian PM Mario Draghi has asked Russian President Vladimir Putin to allow grain exports from both Russia and those parts of Ukraine under Russian control, and Putin has agreed so long as the West lifts sanctions on his country. With Mariupol now under Russian control, foreign ships can once again access the southern part of Ukraine.
However, Putin has denied that Ukraine’s wheat is blocked by Russian warships. He pointed out that Kiev has mined its own harbors extensively, creating serious danger for ships seeking to access Ukrainian ports.
Italy said last week it would help de-mine the ports in order to create sea corridors to transport wheat, in addition to the existing humanitarian sea corridor opened southwest of Ukraine’s territorial waters by Moscow last month.
Meanwhile, Kiev has been shipping its grain out via the Romanian port of Constanta and over land to Europe – a much less efficient route as far less of the crop can be transported at a time. With European countries able to pay more for the crop, less of it is likely to make its way to northern Africa, and leaders from the continent have pleaded with Europe to lift sanctions on Russia which make it more difficult for them to buy food via the SWIFT system.
Di Maio has called for Putin to sign a ceasefire agreement allowing Italy to evacuate civilians in eastern Ukraine, though it’s not clear if this is in addition to existing humanitarian corridors set up by Russia and the Donetsk People’s Republic to evacuate civilians from Mariupol.
He added that Italy would meet on Tuesday with other Mediterranean countries, as well as Germany, to “reach the goal of unblocking the quantities of wheat that have to leave Ukraine at a historical moment in which households cannot afford increases in the cost of energy, industry [cannot afford] the increase in the cost of materials,” and the rest of the world cannot afford an increase in the cost of wheat and bread.
Ukraine produces 15% of the corn on the world export market and nearly 10% of global wheat exports, as well as half the sunflower oil on the world market, making it a major link in the global food chain.
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