Once A Close Race, Newsom Is Clear Favorite One Day Out From California Recall

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California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom has emerged as the clear favorite in Tuesday’s recall election, riding a late wave of momentum as support for ousting him tanks.

The race has been surprisingly close for months, with most polls showing support for Newsom just barely outrunning those seeking to remove him. The contest was a dead heat as recently as mid-August, with support for keeping Newsom holding just a 0.2% lead in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average as coronavirus cases increased and the state struggled to contain record-setting wildfires.


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